GREECE’s troubled economy may preclude the Australian home-owners from being subjected to another interest rate hike when the Reserve Bank board meets next week.
Despite growth in prices and overall inflation rising 0.9 per cent over the March quarter, leading economists now believe that the RBA will play it safe and keep its cash rate at 4.25 next week.
Global markets were thrown into panic mode yesterday after Greece’s credit rating was condemned to “junk” status, making it near-impossible to pay back its $430 billion national debt alone.
Greece now faces a do-or-die May 19 deadline when the nation needs to pay back $12.5 billion, or become the first member of the European Union to default on its loans.
The credit agencies also went after Portugal yesterday, downgrading its rating amid concerns its national debt might also spiral out of control.
The RBA will undoubtedly take the European situation into account when considering the future of interest rates in this country.
“The lessons from the surprise pause in February, which was we believe significantly influenced by the surprise developments in Greece, probably signal that with rates so close to the normal level the bank can afford to wait until June,” Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said.
While on one hand citing yesterday’s inflation figures as cause for concern for the RBA, ANZ economists also claimed the cloud over Europe’s finances would dictate the outcome of the board meeting.
Interest rates were raised 5 times within a 7 month period by the RBA,